OPINION: Plenty Without Progress: Nigeria’s Troubling Fiscal Contradiction
By Paul Okojie
Nigeria today stands at a difficult fiscal crossroads one defined not by scarcity of resources, but by the troubling absence of visible results despite unprecedented revenue inflows. Nigeria resources is beyond comprehension and mismanagement keep eating deep and derail our collective progress.
Under the administration of Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the Federal Government’s earnings profile has expanded significantly. In 2025 alone, the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) generated ₦28.3 trillion, exceeding its target. The Nigeria Customs Service brought in ₦7.281 trillion, while the Nigerian Ports Authority contributed ₦1.97 trillion.
Equally significant is the ₦14.706 trillion remitted by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company, alongside ₦618 billion from the Nigeria Immigration Service and ₦65 billion in stamp duties. In total, these revenues amount to approximately ₦52.94 trillion. When the ₦15.3 trillion raised through treasury bills by the Central Bank of Nigeria is added, total fiscal inflows for 2025 climb to about ₦68.24 trillion.
This figure, by any standard, is staggering. Combined with 2024 inflows, Nigeria has seen well over ₦100 trillion pass through government coffers within two years.
Yet, the lived reality of Nigerians tells a very different story. Nigerians are turning into daily beggars for survival and the administration is giving palliative because the country is in a political and poor policy Pandemic.
Across the federation, infrastructure remains in decay. Federal highways are in deplorable condition. No new federal universities or teaching hospitals have emerged to match the scale of these revenues. Contractors remain unpaid, in some cases since 2024. The agricultural sector continues to weaken under the pressure of imports, while insecurity persists and have driven local farmers out of farmlands as a daily threat to lives and livelihoods is conspicuously high.
Even more striking is the policy context. The government has removed both fuel and power subsidies, with their new tax system, reforms that were expected to free up enormous fiscal space for development, increase revenue generation. Nigerians were told these sacrifices would translate into better infrastructure, improved services, and a more resilient economy. So far, that promise appears largely unmet.
In this context, the decision by the National Assembly of Nigeria to approve an additional $6 billion loan raises legitimate concerns. Borrowing is not inherently problematic, especially for capital development, but borrowing in the midst of record revenues, without corresponding improvements in public goods, is difficult to justify.
The problem, therefore, is not simply about how much Nigeria earns. It is about how effectively those earnings are managed.
A large portion of government revenue continues to be absorbed by recurrent expenditure and debt servicing. Leakages, inefficiencies, and weak project execution further dilute the impact of public spending. What remains for capital development is often insufficient or poorly utilized.
This is the heart of Nigeria’s fiscal paradox: a government that is earning more, yet delivering less.
It is important to be clear, Nigeria is not under any spell, nor is it jinxed. The challenges are structural, rooted in governance, transparency, and fiscal discipline. Without addressing these fundamentals, no amount of revenue or Harvard professor will aid and translate into meaningful progress. Government must reduce spending to avert increase in inflation, create jobs and give the public basic and better services for local economies to thrive.
The Tinubu administration has demonstrated that revenue generation can improve. What remains to be proven is whether those revenues can be converted into tangible development outcomes that citizens can see and feel.
Until then, the growing gap between government earnings and public welfare will remain a source of frustration, political tension and a test for every leadership cycle of government in Nigeria.
Paul Okojie is a Media Consultant/Journalist writing from Benin City.
